By Ken Crippen
Pro Football Researchers Association


After we introduced the groundbreaking new Rusher Rating System last week, reader Tom Lianos (among many others) wrote to Cold, Hard Football Facts world headquarters:
 
“I really enjoyed the RB Rating system article," said Tom. "I am hopeful that you can apply this stat at the team level so that you can measure the efficiency of the total game.”
 
Well, Tom, that was a great idea. We’ve taken a number of steps here to provide the answer:
 
First, we calculated the rusher rating of each NFL team last year. Interestingly, New England finished No. 1, largely because the team was so incredibly careful with the ball: just nine fumbles all year, easily the fewest in the NFL. 
 
So the Patriots combined the league’s highest rated passing attack with the highest-rated rushing attack. No wonder they went 14-2 and easily scored more points than any other team.
 
The next step was to produce a total team offensive rating, combining rusher rating with passer rating. We weighted the individual components based on the number of attempts to calculate the overall offensive rating.
 
This same concept can then be applied to the defensive side of the ball.  So the final step was to combine both to provide a Total Team Rating.
 
First, we need the Rusher Rating for each of the teams for the 2010 season:
 
Final 2010 Offensive Rusher Rating
Team Attempts Yards YPA TD Fumbles Rusher
Rating
*New England Patriots 454 1973 4.35 19 9 103.9
Houston Texans 423 2042 4.83 20 15 103.8
Minnesota Vikings 441 1942 4.40 16 20 87.1
*Atlanta Falcons 497 1891 3.81 14 12 86.9
*Kansas City Chiefs 556 2627 4.73 13 15 86.3
*Indianapolis Colts 393 1483 3.77 13 14 85.5
New York Giants 480 2200 4.58 17 26 83.1
San Diego Chargers 457 1810 3.96 18 25 83.0
Oakland Raiders 504 2494 4.95 19 32 82.7
*Philadelphia Eagles 428 2324 5.43 18 33 82.7
Jacksonville Jaguars 512 2395 4.68 14 23 81.0
*Pittsburgh Steelers 471 1924 4.09 15 22 80.8
*Seattle Seahawks 385 1424 3.70 13 18 80.4
*New York Jets 534 2374 4.45 14 23 79.6
Tennessee Titans 406 1727 4.25 13 22 78.3
St. Louis Rams 429 1578 3.68 9 14 75.8
Detroit Lions 404 1613 3.99 11 20 74.9
*Green Bay Packers 421 1606 3.82 11 20 74.0
*Chicago Bears 414 1616 3.90 10 19 73.5
*Baltimore Ravens 487 1831 3.76 11 22 71.7
San Francisco 49ers 401 1657 4.13 10 22 71.1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 431 2001 4.64 9 24 70.0
Cleveland Browns 413 1646 3.99 13 29 68.7
Denver Broncos 398 1544 3.88 13 29 67.9
*New Orleans Saints 380 1519 4.00 9 23 66.6
Cincinnati Bengals 428 1522 3.56 8 21 65.3
Dallas Cowboys 428 1786 4.17 10 28 64.9
Miami Dolphins 445 1643 3.69 8 24 63.1
Washington Redskins 351 1461 4.16 9 29 58.7
Carolina Panthers 428 1846 4.31 7 31 56.2
Arizona Cardinals 320 1388 4.34 9 33 52.0
Buffalo Bills 401 1720 4.29 6 33 50.1
*Playoff Teams
 
Now, let’s take a look at the Total Offensive Rating for the 2010 season, which is a weighted average of the Passer Rating and Rusher Rating:
 
Final 2010 Combined Total Offensive Rating
Team Passing
Attempts
Passer
Rating
Rushing
Attempts
Rusher
Rating
Total Offensive Rating
*New England Patriots 507 109.8 454 103.9 107.0
Houston Texans 574 92.0 423 103.8 97.0
San Diego Chargers 544 101.9 457 83.0 93.3
*Indianapolis Colts 679 91.9 393 85.5 90.0
*Atlanta Falcons 577 90.8 497 86.9 89.0
*Pittsburgh Steelers 479 95.2 471 80.8 88.1
*Kansas City Chiefs 475 90.1 556 86.3 88.1
*Philadelphia Eagles 561 92.1 428 82.7 88.0
*Green Bay Packers 541 98.9 421 74.0 88.0
New York Giants 539 85.3 480 83.1 84.2
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 494 96.2 431 70.0 84.0
*Baltimore Ravens 491 93.6 487 71.7 82.7
Jacksonville Jaguars 469 83.4 512 81.0 82.1
*New Orleans Saints 661 90.8 380 66.6 82.0
Tennessee Titans 474 82.6 406 78.3 80.6
Oakland Raiders 491 77.5 504 82.7 80.1
Dallas Cowboys 576 90.4 428 64.9 79.5
Detroit Lions 633 82.0 404 74.9 79.3
Denver Broncos 580 86.8 398 67.9 79.1
*New York Jets 525 76.5 534 79.6 78.1
Minnesota Vikings 505 67.7 441 87.1 76.8
*Chicago Bears 466 79.5 414 73.5 76.7
St. Louis Rams 590 76.5 429 75.8 76.2
San Francisco 49ers 500 79.4 401 71.1 75.7
*Seattle Seahawks 544 72.1 385 80.4 75.5
Cincinnati Bengals 590 82.4 428 65.3 75.2
Cleveland Browns 478 75.0 413 68.7 72.1
Washington Redskins 605 78.1 351 58.7 71.0
Miami Dolphins 557 74.8 445 63.1 70.0
Buffalo Bills 519 75.2 401 50.1 64.3
Arizona Cardinals 561 60.5 320 52.0 57.4
Carolina Panthers 484 57 428 56.2 56.6
*Playoff Teams
 
Seven of the top 10 offenses made the playoffs last year. The New York Giants and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers had better records than the Seattle Seahawks, but missed out on the playoffs.
 
The Giants boasted the 10-ranked offense (based on this system) and the Buccaneers were the 11-ranked offense. Seattle was No. 25. But the Seahawks were an anomaly by any statistical measure last year, not just its offensive rating.
 
Of course, offense is only one part of the game. Let’s apply the same philosophy to the defense, namely Defensive Passer Rating (a CHFF Quality Stat) and defensive rusher rating for the 2010 season. Keep in mind that the lower the number, the better the defense.
 
Final 2010 Defensive Rating
Team Passing
Attempts
Passer
Rating
Against
Rushing
Attempts
Rusher
Rating
Against
Total Defensive Rating
*Pittsburgh Steelers 593 70.8 333 62.4 67.8
*Green Bay Packers 527 64.6 395 82.0 72.0
*New York Jets 531 75.1 408 74.9 75.0
*Baltimore Ravens 596 75.1 384 75.7 75.4
New York Giants 539 78.2 389 72.2 75.7
St. Louis Rams 570 78.2 404 78.4 78.3
*Chicago Bears 582 72.7 386 87.8 78.7
*New England Patriots 611 79.8 409 82.2 80.8
Cleveland Browns 507 83.4 505 78.9 81.2
Miami Dolphins 502 83.2 447 79.6 81.5
*Kansas City Chiefs 581 76.2 408 89.6 81.7
Tennessee Titans 625 84.6 474 79.1 82.2
*Philadelphia Eagles 536 78.5 423 88.2 82.8
*New Orleans Saints 494 81.1 421 85.2 83.0
*Atlanta Falcons 560 80.5 366 88.0 83.5
San Diego Chargers 488 73.7 404 95.3 83.5
Minnesota Vikings 529 84.1 417 82.7 83.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 521 76.4 444 92.9 84.0
San Francisco 49ers 550 88.1 447 82.0 85.4
Oakland Raiders 470 82.1 474 91.4 86.8
Carolina Panthers 526 79.2 503 97.9 88.3
*Seattle Seahawks 585 87.9 452 90.6 89.1
Arizona Cardinals 533 81.8 526 96.9 89.3
Cincinnati Bengals 514 83.7 416 97.3 89.8
Dallas Cowboys 540 90.8 402 88.6 89.9
Washington Redskins 578 88.4 444 93.7 90.7
Detroit Lions 518 86.8 443 97.0 91.5
*Indianapolis Colts 535 90.2 445 93.6 91.8
Buffalo Bills 473 90.1 571 97.3 94.1
Houston Texans 547 98.8 433 101.9 100.2
Denver Broncos 502 91.7 531 114.1 103.2
Jacksonville Jaguars 506 96.1 416 112.8 103.6
*Playoff Teams
 
The rating mirrors scoring defense fairly closely, with teams such as Pittsburgh and Green Bay the top two in both scoring defense and defensive rating and teams such as Houston, Denver and Jacksonville among the worst in both indicators.
 
With this information in hand, we can determine the Total Team Rating. Since the Total Defensive Rating is inversely proportional to the Total Offensive Rating, we subtract the Total Defensive Rating from 158.3 (perfection) for the Total Team Rating calculations.
 
Final 2010 Total Team Rating
Team Offensive
Plays
Total
Offensive
Rating
Defensive
Plays
Total
Defensive
Rating
Total
Team
Rating
*New England Patriots 961 107.0 1020 80.8 91.8
*Pittsburgh Steelers 950 88.1 926 67.8 89.3
*Green Bay Packers 962 88.0 922 72.0 87.2
San Diego Chargers 1001 93.3 892 83.5 84.6
New York Giants 1019 84.2 928 75.7 83.4
*Baltimore Ravens 978 82.7 980 75.4 82.8
*Kansas City Chiefs 1031 88.1 989 81.7 82.5
*Atlanta Falcons 1074 89.0 926 83.5 82.4
*Philadelphia Eagles 989 88.0 959 82.8 81.8
*New York Jets 1059 78.1 939 75.0 80.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 925 84.0 965 84.0 79.1
*New Orleans Saints 1041 82.0 915 83.0 78.9
*Indianapolis Colts 1072 90.0 980 91.8 78.8
*Chicago Bears 880 76.7 968 78.7 78.2
Tennessee Titans 880 80.6 1099 82.2 78.1
St. Louis Rams 1019 76.2 974 78.3 78.1
Houston Texans 997 97.0 980 100.2 77.7
Oakland Raiders 995 80.1 944 86.8 75.9
Minnesota Vikings 946 76.8 946 83.5 75.8
Cleveland Browns 891 72.1 1012 81.2 74.8
San Francisco 49ers 901 75.7 997 85.4 74.2
Dallas Cowboys 1004 79.5 942 89.9 74.1
Miami Dolphins 1002 70.0 949 81.5 73.3
Detroit Lions 1037 79.3 961 91.5 73.3
*Seattle Seahawks 929 75.5 1037 89.1 72.2
Cincinnati Bengals 1018 75.2 930 89.8 72.0
Washington Redskins 956 71.0 1022 90.7 69.2
Jacksonville Jaguars 981 82.1 922 103.6 68.8
Denver Broncos 978 79.1 1033 103.2 68.8
Buffalo Bills 920 64.3 1044 94.1 64.3
Arizona Cardinals 881 57.4 1059 89.3 63.7
Carolina Panthers 912 56.6 1029 88.3 63.7
 
With this in hand, we have a good look at the overall quality of a team. Of the top 15 teams, 11 made the playoffs of the 12 possible positions. Seattle’s division win at 7-9 would skew any system. If the playoffs were determined by overall record, then the 12 playoff teams would have come from the top 14 teams based on Total Team Rating.